Century Initiative’s National Scorecard on Canada’s Growth and Prosperity is an annual assessment of Canada’s progress toward our target of 100 million people by 2100. This inaugural edition tracks a total of 40 measurable indicators across seven key focus areas: essential factors for growth to 100 million; immigration; economy, employment and entrepreneurship; education and training; support for children and families; infrastructure and urban development; and growth for sustainable and shared prosperity (or what we call “growing well”).
The Scorecard provides a broad look at the country’s successes, as well as areas that need more attention in order to achieve the smart growth and shared prosperity we want in the years ahead.
The National Scorecard aims to start a conversation about what measures will contribute to building a bigger, bolder Canada. It will help Canadian policy and decision-makers to identify policy priorities and address gaps in supporting growth. As Century Initiative’s work progresses, it will be our annual pulse check on the work that has been achieved and the steps ahead.
Each of the seven focus areas has a set of key indicators, and each indicator has its own unique target. We have identified targets based on where Canada should be in comparison to similar countries, or based on national goals and objectives that have been set. For each indicator, we have assessed the direction Canada is trending as one of four possible scores: leading, on track, needs attention, or falling behind.
Alongside each indicator’s score, we have provided additional context as to why the particular indicator matters, and why we must continue to track it moving forward. The Scorecard was developed in consultation with key partners and experts (see list in full report).
The online version of the Scorecard provides a summary-level picture of the status or trend of issues in Canada. The downloadable report provides more detailed insights and analysis of what they mean for Canada. This includes consideration of equity dimensions for relevant indicators.
Experiences and outcomes on the basis of race, gender, Indigenous status, income, disability status, and/or immigration arrival class are often significant and highlight the core issues to address and gaps to close for Canada to progress overall. The report also provides analysis on the impacts of Covid-19, future indicator concepts, and more detailed descriptions of methodologies, data sources, and complete reference information.
Canada is at a crossroads. Our population is aging, our workforce is not growing fast enough, and our fertility rates are below replacement levels. If these trends continue, Canada risks a slow decline in its prosperity, quality of life, diversity, and international influence. This will mean fewer tax dollars to support essential and high-quality programs and services—including health care, income security programs, and necessary infrastructure. It will mean that key industries will grow more slowly, be less dynamic, and less competitive.
We need to grow our population and develop the policies and infrastructure necessary to do it in a smart, sustainable way. This means ensuring that the benefits of growth are shared amongst all Canadians, including Indigenous peoples across Canada. While Canada’s population overall is aging with declining fertility, Indigenous peoples are on average younger, with communities growing at a faster rate. Improving socioeconomic outcomes and quality of life for Indigenous peoples is vital to our collective success and a key task of reconciliation.