A bigger and bolder future for Canada requires infrastructure to support it. It must keep pace with a growing population and be resilient to climate change. This includes all kinds of infrastructure, such as affordable housing, digital infrastructure, climate adaptation and urban infrastructure like public transit.
Resilient systems that can withstand the shocks of climate change are critical to the success of a growing Canada and necessary to help the country prepare for risks from global challenges.
Canada ranked 14th out of 46 upper income countries in the 2021 Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN) Index.
Top 10 most resilient countries in Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN) index.
In 2021, Canada’s ranking on the ND-GAIN Index – assessing countries’ vulnerability to climate change and other global challenges, in combination with their readiness to adapt – remained similar to previous years. Extreme weather events in 2023 highlighted the detrimental impacts of climate change across the country. At the same time, the federal government released its National Adaptation Strategy in 2023 designed to improve the country’s resilience to climate change, providing direction on measures to protect buildings and infrastructure facing risks such as floods and fires. An average annual investment of $5.3 billion in municipal infrastructure has been projected as needed to adapt to the impacts of climate change, which will require cost-sharing across governments.
Climate change poses an existential risk to Canadian and global prosperity, as well as health and well-being. Improving performance on protecting the climate is vital to current and future generations.
Canada ranked 62nd out of 67 on the 2024 Climate Change Performance Index.
Top 15 countries on the Climate Change Performance Index, with a “high” performance rating.
Canada continues to rank among the worst-performing countries in the world on climate change. While Canada has introduced an emissions reduction plan, including a target of net-zero emissions by 2050, there has been slow progress. Canada will continue to fall behind without efforts such as a strong cap on emissions and plans to phase out fossil fuels. Changes in Canada’s regulatory processes have also been identified as needed to build the infrastructure to meet climate targets. In December 2023, the federal government announced plans to cap emissions in the oil and gas sector through a regulatory framework. Canadians observed the impacts of climate change first-hand in 2023 with a record high number of wildfires, which are projected to become increasingly common with changing weather patterns.
Well-planned density can address issues of housing affordability, access to services, health outcomes, and the environment, and will be essential as Canada’s population grows to ensure growth is sustainable and all Canadians can benefit.
The average population density of the core areas of Canadian cities with populations of more than 250,000 (16 cities) was 1,233 inhabitants per square-kilometre in 2020.
The OECD average for population density of the core areas.
Threshold: The OECD average for population density in core areas was 1,394 inhabitants per square-kilometre in 2020.
Canada’s level of urban density has increased in recent years but remains lower than in some peer countries. Across many Canadian cities, lower levels of density contribute to ongoing challenges including housing affordability. Increasing density will help to address urban sprawl which has increased faster than population growth in recent years – resulting in costs to the economy, environment and society. Density in Canadian cities is not evenly distributed, with growth in some areas but stagnation or declines in others. There is potential for Canadian cities to build more in existing neighbourhoods with a focus on quality of life. Recent government activities focused on increasing density include stimulating zoning changes through the federal Housing Accelerator Fund.
Access to broadband across Canada, including in rural and remote parts of the country, is critical for Canada to grow in a way that builds shared prosperity. This will enable both Canadians and newcomers to access education, critical services, and to fully participate in Canada’s economy and society from anywhere in the country.
Coverage of 50/10 unlimited broadband was 67.4% in Canada’s rural areas in 2022.
Coverage of 50/10 unlimited broadband in Canada’s rural areas that is comparable to overall access in Canada toward a federal government goal of 100% access by 2030.
Most Canadian households now have access and can subscribe to broadband at speeds of 50/10 Mbps. Progress has been made in recent years in rural parts of Canada with coverage growing from 37% to 67% over a five-year period. However, rural and remote parts of Canada continue to experience significantly lower levels of broadband coverage compared to urban Canada. Across Canada in 2022, 1.1 million households lacked 50/10 unlimited coverage in rural areas, Northern and First Nations communities. A lack of broadband coverage can lead to barriers in accessing the digital economy and virtual services such as health care or education. In the absence of fibre optic or fixed wireless services in some rural areas, high-speed satellite internet options like Starlink have become increasingly common and have attracted some federal and provincial investments. Challenges to closing the access and quality gap include slow approval processes for connectivity projects, as well as higher costs to service rural areas. Coordination will be required to enable all households in Canada to have access to high-speed broadband by the end of the decade.
Access to affordable housing that is suitable and adequate is needed to support the health and well-being of a growing Canadian population. Strong housing quality and security are correlated with positive health outcomes and support long-term social cohesion, helping Canada to grow well in the years ahead.
Proportion of households in core housing need was 10.1% across Canada and 11.2% in large urban centres in 2021.
Meet CMHC target of affordable housing for everyone by 2030.
Housing affordability remains a challenge across Canada especially as the population grows. While Canada’s level of “core housing need” improved in 2021, this was largely due to pandemic supports. Many people in low-income households are increasingly unable to affordably live in Canadian cities, as rent on the Consumer Price Index continues to rise. Canadians identified housing affordability as one of the most important problems they faced in 2023 and concerns about a lack of housing have impacted public support for immigration levels in Canada. While an increased number of newcomers can exacerbate housing pressures, other issues have to be solved to address challenges. Reducing immigration is not a strategy to solve Canada’s housing problems. Across the country, recent declines in housing starts have been driven by factors including high interest rates and increased building costs. Increases in housing investment and reduction of zoning barriers are critical to addressing these challenges. It is estimated that 3.5 million additional new housing units are required in order to hit the target of housing affordability for everyone by the end of the decade.
A bigger, bolder Canada requires investments in infrastructure such as affordable housing, climate adaptation infrastructure, broadband, roads, bridges, water and wastewater, and public transit. Without planned and strategic investments in infrastructure, population growth will put a strain on Canada’s economy, quality of life and well-being.
Investment in infrastructure represented 4.0% of GDP in 2022.
Increase the rate of infrastructure investment to 5% of GDP in order to close the infrastructure gap.
Canada’s infrastructure investment rate increased in 2022 but has remained flat compared to a decade earlier. Challenges with uncertain funding in 2023 resulted in cost pressures on projects, sparking calls for the next generation of infrastructure investments through collaboration across all levels of government. Current rates of investment are below levels needed as public infrastructure ages and requires maintenance, as well as to adapt to changing weather patterns. It would cost an estimated $265 billion to replace infrastructure found to be in poor or very poor condition. Population growth will add to stresses on existing infrastructure without greater levels of investment. Infrastructure challenges can also be also more pronounced in rural and remote areas and Indigenous communities.